In 2032, the asteroids of the Earth 2024 YRR4 have fallen again.

NASA has reduced the risk of 2024 YRR4 that kills Earth in 2032. 1 -in -67Below a high 1 -in -32 The opportunity, which was the highest part of the conflict so far.

Astronomers found that the asteroid was moving towards the Earth in December and has been focusing on the world’s telescopes and space agencies since then. As they collect more data on the exact orbit of asteroid, astronomers are able to calculate the possibility of killing the earth with greater accuracy. Asteroids are considered 40 to 90 meters wide and have the ability to release energy equal to 7.7 megatts of TNT, it should be hit into the earth – it is enough to destroy a city.

According to NASA, the possibility of collision in 2032 is growing by chance 1 -in -83 because it was first seen. It has since gone in 1 -in -67, 1 -in -53, till 1 -in -43, 1 -in -38, 1 -in -32 and now returned to 1 -in -67 Has gone. The European Space Agency has little different obstacles, Currently asteroids have been given 1.38 percent chance of collisionThese changes reflect our growing understanding of the path of asteroid, rather than mean that it is more or less likely to hit the Earth.

But we are running out of time to estimate the risk of asteroid. An issue is that 2024 YR4 will fly behind the Sun in April, making it out of the view of most Earth-based telescopes. It is limited how astronomers can refine their predictions, say Huga Lewis In Southampton University, Britain .. “Now whatever we can observe and when it is out of view, it will clearly help us refine the classroom and make better predictions. This does not mean that it will go down before April. It can continue going up, but still finally miss us. ,

Once the asteroid is out of view, it is unlikely that we will get any more information before seeing again in 2028. However, astronomers can comb through previous data to highlight the ignorant remarks of asteroids, which will help refine it to projection. Lewis says that this process is already being done by the world’s space agencies.

Lewis says that important information about the size and composition of the asteroid will be collected by the James Web Space Telescope in the coming months. This will help us understand whether the asteroid can retain it through the Earth’s atmosphere and if it affects it, how big it can occur.

“This will help us determine what we need to do about it, because if it is a stony asteroid, it is very different from the high ratio of iron metal asteroid,” says Lewis. The asteroid rich in an iron will be worse, as a stony asteroid will potentially break during effect. “The mass makes a big difference in the context of energy and whether the atmosphere has an effect on it.”

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