The winners of the first trade war cannot be so victorious

The winners of the first trade war cannot be so victorious


It is right for the leaders to be careful. Singapore’s Prime Minister Lawrence Wong told reporters in November, “Trade is three times of our gross domestic product.” “We are an open economy. We are a business economy. We will be worried in a world where there are more and more friction. The message is that business struggle, their duration or intensity, eventually work against good results.

In some ways, the extensive vibe custom from Washington is as important as details. What if 25% levy can be whisper within a week of returning to Trump’s Oval Office on Mexico and Canada, then what does business say about the possibilities for integration? I sing two North American partners, because together with the US, they were the signators of the North American Free Trade Agreement in the early 1990s. The agreement was rebuilt in a deal during Trump’s first term, which was seen by the President as a “Model Agreement”. His treatment of Ottawa and Mexico City effectively dissolves that agreement. It is difficult to see the broad system of any halfway with China better.

When Trump started a business fight in his first term at the White House, Southeast Asia was fixing. The damage was seen as a minimum and the result was probably also beneficial, it depends on how many companies were prepared to hedge their stakes and diversify their production sites on China. But it was difficult to get it Just Right: The region gained the benefits of growing relations with Beijing, while American businesses enjoyed a tangled situation. Many countries had cordial relations with the US and many had deep political and defense relations with Washington. They cannot be seen as profitable by desire to disintegrate from China, but neither will they withdraw serious investment proposals from the Western group.

The nation wants to keep its head down, but it is difficult to fly under the radar for four years. Not much imports may occur with individual countries or even specific industries, but trade agreements stand and damage those ideas. Independent, or relatively unwanted, business has taken a philosophical hit. This is not the end of globalization, but it is definitely a new, tortured chapter. As a young journalist in Sydney, considering my first proposal of a foreign assignment to Kuala Lumpur in 1996, almost everyone consulted, almost some said: Just go there and find out, you can’t really lose Because Asia is the one where there is development.

This phase feels more danger. South East Asia will be found through it, but not unheard. Business wars are to survive. There is a fully different proposal.

(Tagstotranslet) tariff (T) Trump Business Policies